Hidden Spoiler Issue in Conflict Analysis and Resolution: A Multiple-Case Study of Stay-behind Activities in Turkey
Date
2015-08-31
Authors
Arik, Can
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Abstract
In analyzing conflicts, current Conflict Analysis & Resolution and International Relations theories focused on manifest parties and their actions. However, in some conflicts there are hidden spoilers who engage in either triggering a new conflict or escalating an ongoing one, and mostly this engagement is not known to the parties (either one of them or all) or to the possible interveners but plays an important role in conflict dynamics. This study will explore which factors, motivations, and goals lead hidden spoilers to engage in spoiling, which mechanisms are being utilized in pursuit of their goals, and how their involvement impact conflict dynamics.
Description
This work was embargoed by the author and will not be publicly available until May 2020.
Keywords
Conflict, Early warning, Hidden spoiler, Intervention, Stay behind